{"id":1122,"date":"2025-08-07T13:07:20","date_gmt":"2025-08-07T13:07:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.youtubexyoutube.com\/?p=1122"},"modified":"2025-08-08T13:50:07","modified_gmt":"2025-08-08T13:50:07","slug":"no-more-crutches-russias-neighbors-must-now-stand-on-their-own","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.youtubexyoutube.com\/index.php\/2025\/08\/07\/no-more-crutches-russias-neighbors-must-now-stand-on-their-own\/","title":{"rendered":"No more crutches: Russia\u2019s neighbors must now stand on their own"},"content":{"rendered":"
No empire, no charity: Moscow redefines its role in Eurasia<\/strong><\/p>\n As global instability deepens, Russia\u2019s role in Eurasia \u2013 and the nature of its ties with neighboring states \u2013 is once again in sharp focus. Moscow is not driven by a mission to dominate its neighbors or enforce a privileged position over them. But it must ensure that future dependencies \u2013 economic, political, or security-related \u2013 do not come at the expense of its own national interests.\u00a0<\/p>\n This delicate balance is now being tested.<\/p>\n The summer of 2025 has brought fresh tension to Eurasia. The worsening crisis surrounding Iran could easily spill over, affecting international cooperation and security throughout the region. Meanwhile, relations between Russia and long-standing partners such as Armenia \u2013 both a formal military and economic ally \u2013 are showing visible strain. Even frictions with Azerbaijan, though less dramatic, signal that the geopolitical fabric of southern Eurasia is shifting.<\/p>\n Amid this turbulence, Russia\u2019s neighbors face a new set of choices. The ongoing standoff between Russia and the West, combined with uncertainty in the global economy, presents both risks and openings. These smaller states now must navigate a rapidly changing landscape \u2013 one where traditional alliances feel less reliable and new poles of influence emerge.\u00a0<\/p>\n Despite these pressures, Russia\u2019s influence remains evident. In July, Moscow formally recognized the Taliban government in Afghanistan, a move reflecting both realism and strategic calculation. While the United States still holds significant global clout, particularly through its Western military alliances and presence in the Middle East, Russia, China, and India continue to shape the regional dynamics of Eurasia.<\/p>\n \n Read more<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n This is especially clear in the South Caucasus and Central Asia. These nations, already established as independent and sovereign players, are adapting to new realities \u2013 economic integration, demographic change, and environmental pressure. A notable example is the growing cohesion among Central Asia\u2019s five republics. Their cooperation may well enhance their regional agency in the years to come. Russia views this development positively. A more resilient Central Asia \u2013 capable of solving its own challenges \u2013 contributes to overall regional stability and makes cooperation more effective.<\/p>\n Nonetheless, new challenges are on the horizon.\u00a0<\/p>\n First, the Middle East will remain volatile. The outcome of the Israel-Iran confrontation remains uncertain, but its destabilizing effects are already rippling outward. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019s foreign policy, often unpredictable, adds further complexity. For countries like Armenia and Azerbaijan, these dynamics will pose a constant strategic test.<\/p>\n Second, the energy economies of Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan remain vulnerable to global market shocks. A sustained drop in oil and gas prices \u2013 or the depletion of reserves \u2013 could threaten both countries with domestic turmoil. Managing this risk will demand careful economic planning and diversification.<\/p>\n Third, climate change is poised to hit Central Asia hard. Rising temperatures and water shortages, paired with demographic pressures, may evolve into a genuine crisis within the next decade.\u00a0<\/p>\n Fourth, and perhaps most profoundly, Russia\u2019s neighbors are not insulated from the deepening instability of global politics and economics. Larger powers may weather volatility thanks to reserves and institutional strength. Smaller states may not be so lucky. They are aware of these vulnerabilities \u2013 and they are preparing for them.<\/p>\n This, in turn, raises the question: what kind of relationship should these countries build with Russia?<\/p>\n